Evidence
Where all of this came from.
39 reference records rest on 224 published pages, and 109 of those come from state and provincial natural-resources departments. That suits a set of records about what lives in the water those departments survey. The rest is federal survey work, university and extension guides, and interagency reports. The counts are below. Every reviewed line sits behind a record or a search, with the sources standing behind its record.
How to read this
A line is cited as precisely as someone checked it.
Where a reviewer traced a line to the pages that carry it, the line names those pages and, when the evidence is narrower than the record, where it comes from — one coast, one lake, one region. 605 of 1049 of the lines below are traced that way. The rest show the sources standing behind their whole record, marked “record’s sources”, because nobody has yet checked which page carried which line, and printing a single citation there would be a mapping nobody made.
National
52
A federal or national government body — USGS, NOAA, EPA, the Fish and Wildlife Service, the Park Service, Fisheries and Oceans Canada.
State
109
A state, provincial or commonwealth natural-resources department. Most of this carrier rests here, which suits it: these are the bodies that survey the water the records describe.
Interagency
12
A commission or joint survey run across several agencies, such as the Great Lakes Fishery Commission's forage task groups.
University
45
A university research programme, cooperative extension service or Sea Grant office. Published work, but not the agency that manages the water.
Journal
6
A peer-reviewed paper, or a curated scientific register such as the World Register of Marine Species. Added with the 2026-09-25 evidence review, which went to the primary study where no agency page said what a claim needed.
Probe leftovers
What the weekly check could not treat as ordinary.
These addresses are still the citations. The check named what it saw. None of them is a gone page in the MISIN sense, so the records were not rewritten to hide a redirect, a timeout, or a bot wall.
Iowa DNR — BluegillMoved
The cited address answers through a permanent redirect. GET on the page that lands still names Bluegill.
A same-site move that still names the animal is not the MISIN case. The citation stays until a reviewer reads the new address into the record.
CASG — market squidUnreachable from this network
The California Sea Grant market-squid page times out from the probe network.
NOAA still covers the same animal on this record. The CASG address stays; a timeout is not a reason to drop a citation.
Mass.gov — menhaden and longfin squidRefused the probe
Both creature-feature pages answered 403 from the probe network.
A bot wall is not evidence the page is gone. The citations stay; the weekly check does not fail the build on unverifiable.
Michigan DNR — crayfish identification PDFRefused the probe
The cited PDF answered 403 from the probe network.
A refused PDF is not a 404. The citation stays on the crayfish record until a reviewer can open it.
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute — silversidesRefused the probe
The Menidia page answered 500 from the probe network.
A 500 is not a 404, and it is not a 403. The citation stays.
Claims
Every reviewed line in the app.
Baitfish / forage silhouette →25 lines
- What you can seeA fish-shaped body with a distinct head, fins, and a forked or rounded tail fin — not six legs and not insect wingsrecord’s sources
- What you can seeOften seen as a school or tight cluster rather than a single drifting insectILDNR-EMERALD-SHINER, MDC-FATHEAD-MINNOW, NOAA-FISHERIES-FORAGEEvidence from: Emerald shiner and fathead minnow; NOAA statement is for marine forage
- What you can seeNo insect-type gills, no case, no cerciEPA-MACRO-ID-TIPS
- What you can seeThis group exists so a forage observation is not forced into an insect orderrecord’s sources
- What argues against itAny true insect tails, portable case, abdominal gills, or six jointed legs rules out forage fishEPA-MACRO-ID-TIPS
- What argues against itA single tiny worm-like form without fins is a midge or worm, not baitfishEPA-MACRO-ID-TIPS
- What argues against itA small hunched crustacean with seven pairs of legs is a scud, not a minnowEPA-MACRO-ID-TIPS
- What argues against itNever treat a forage silhouette as a hatch match targetrecord’s sources
- Declared limitThis is a silhouette observation class for forage fish, not a species identification and not a hatch.record’s sources
- Declared limitMany genera exist (shiners, dace, darters, shad, fry of gamefish). The useful field result is 'forage silhouette', not a named minnow.DFO-BAITFISH-PRIMER, MANITOBA-BAITFISH-GUIDE
- Declared limitThis record never claims current bait presence, density, or that predatory fish are feeding on it now.record’s sources
- Size bandadult: 38-230 (fathead minnow to golden shiner) mmMDC-FATHEAD-MINNOW, DFO-BAITFISH-PRIMEREvidence from: Common North American baitfish species (Missouri, Ontario)
- Water typeriverrecord’s sources
- Water typestreamrecord’s sources
- Water typelake-marginrecord’s sources
- Water typelake-openrecord’s sources
- Water typereservoirrecord’s sources
- Water typespringrecord’s sources
- Life stageadultrecord’s sources
- Where it sitsmid-column or just under the surfacerecord’s sources
- Where it sitsover weed edges and pointsrecord’s sources
- Where it sitsalong shade lines and drop-offsrecord’s sources
- How it movesflashing schoolrecord’s sources
- How it movescoordinated turnsrecord’s sources
- How it movesdarting then holdingrecord’s sources
- NOAA FisheriesNOAA-FISHERIES-FORAGE · National · read 2026-08-24
- U.S. Environmental Protection AgencyEPA-MACRO-ID-TIPS · National · read 2026-08-06
- NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research LaboratoryNOAA-GLERL-WATER-LIFE-FIELD-GUIDE · National · read 2026-08-06
- Fisheries and Oceans CanadaDFO-BAITFISH-PRIMER · National · read 2026-09-02
- Manitoba Natural Resources and Northern DevelopmentMANITOBA-BAITFISH-GUIDE · State · read 2026-09-02
- Missouri Department of ConservationMDC-FATHEAD-MINNOW · State · read 2026-09-02
- Missouri Department of ConservationMDC-GOLDEN-SHINER · State · read 2026-09-02
- Illinois Department of Natural ResourcesILDNR-EMERALD-SHINER · State · read 2026-09-02
- Missouri Department of ConservationMDC-DARTERS · State · read 2026-09-04
The pages themselves
All 224, and what each one is holding up.
- Fisheries and Oceans Canada
DFO-BAITFISH-PRIMER
- Illinois Department of Natural Resources
ILDNR-EMERALD-SHINER
- Manitoba Natural Resources and Northern Development
MANITOBA-BAITFISH-GUIDE
- Missouri Department of Conservation
MDC-DARTERS
- Missouri Department of Conservation
MDC-FATHEAD-MINNOW
- Missouri Department of Conservation
MDC-GOLDEN-SHINER
- NOAA Fisheries
NOAA-FISHERIES-FORAGE
- NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory
NOAA-GLERL-WATER-LIFE-FIELD-GUIDE
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EPA-MACRO-ID-TIPS
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